The Argument


An argument is a line of reasoning designed to prove a point.  Arguments can be simple, expressed in a few lines, or very complex, taking up whole books.  Regardless of length and complexity, all arguments have the same basic framework: the author states some central idea, and then presents supporting evidence, laying it out in a logical pattern.

The central point of an argument is called the conclusion.  Each piece of evidence used by the author is called a premise.  And the way in which the premises are combined is called reasoning. 

Premise:
All birds fly.
Premise:
Penguins are birds.
Conclusion: 
Penguins fly.

The above example presents a simple argument.  The conclusion is based on two premises.  The argument is valid - if the premises are true, the conclusion must be true.  It is an unsound argument, however, since the first premise is false.


Note that a premise does not have to contain objective, factual evidence to support the conclusion.  In fact, a premise does not even have to be true.  A premise is any statement that the author uses to support the conclusion.

To identify the conclusion of an argument, ask yourself what central point the author is trying to make.  What is the author trying to prove?  Think about the one idea the author would want you to take away after reading the argument.  That idea is the conclusion of the argument.  When you are writing, question whether it will be clear to your reader what exactly your conclusion is.  Is your reader going to be able to easily distinguish between your premises and your conclusion?

Certain structural words can help you indicate your conclusion.  Use words such as:


therefore  
thus
hence
consequently
accordingly
so
as a result
it follows
suggests
indicates

The premises of an argument are statements made by the author to support the conclusion.  Structural words that indicate a premise include the following:

since...
   because
for            
inasmuch as
insofar as
due to

Consider the following and identify the conclusion and the premises.

Dogs make better pets than do cats.  Dogs provide companionship and protection, whereas cats are more aloof and do not guard against intruders.

Note that the actual sequence is not important: the logic of the argument is the same whether the conclusion follows the premises or precedes them.

Assumptions

In an argument, an assumption is a premise that is not explicitly (directly) stated.  These unstated premises are very important since the validity of an argument is determined by the validity of its assumptions.

Assumptions are the missing links of arguments.  You can think about assumptions in visual terms.  Imagine the premises of an argument as spans of a bridge leading to the conclusion.  An assumption - an unstated premise- is a missing span.  The author takes for granted that it is there, but we cannot see it.  Many students however, err by making too many assumptions, their whole bridge is made up of missing spans.

Example:
Senator Franklin is a member of the Orange Party, which supports increased military spending by Federal government.  Franklin will surely vote for a cut in spending on social programs.

The argument assumes which of the following?
A
Elected officials always support policies endorsed by their parties.
B
The only way to increase military spending by Federal government is to cut spending on social programs.
C
Senator Franklin agrees with the policies of his party.
D
The orange Party has the majority in the senate.
E
Senator Franklin opposed Federal spending on social programs.

  
What is the underlying assumption in the example?  Note that what we are interested in is the major assumption in the argument - the unstated premise without which the argument would not work.

To make it easier to see how the author proceeds from the premises to the conclusion and to see which premise is not explicitly stated, we can rewrite the argument as follows, clearly identifying the premises and the conclusion:

Premise:
The Orange party supports increased military spending by the Federal Government
Premise:
Senator Franklin is a member of the Orange Party
Conclusion: 
Senator Franklin will vote for a cut in spending on social programs.

It is evident that the conclusion does not follow from the premises.  In order for this argument to work, there must be another premise, which is assumed by the author.  The most important missing link here is the connection between increased military spending by the Federal government and a reduction in spending on social programs.  If we insert a premise that connects the two, the argument works.

Premise:
Senator Franklin is a member of the Orange Party
Premise:
The Orange party supports increased military spending by the Federal Government
Assumption:
The only way to increase military spending by the Federal government is to cut spending on social programs.
Conclusion: 
Senator Franklin will vote for a cut in spending on social programs.


Note: It is the writer's responsibility to make himself understood.   Don’t make too many assumptions and rather than omit - include as many premises as are necessary to make your argument clear.  Different readers may not recognise or indeed may make false assumptions so if you want to be understood, state everything clearly.


The validity of the major assumption made in an argument largely determines whether that argument is logical.  Therefore, a statement that strengthens an argument supports its major assumption.  On the other hand, a statement that weakens an argument undermines its major assumption.

Example
Some scientists have argued that the effect of dust storms on the surface temperature of Mars reliably predicts a ‘nuclear winter’ on Earth following a nuclear war that would stir up a comparable amount of debris.



Which of the following, if true, would tend to most weaken the argument predicting a ‘nuclear winter’?

A
A nuclear war is unlikely because all participants would suffer almost total annihilation.
B
The chances of a nuclear war occurring are likely to decrease as a result of disarmament.
C
People could survive a ‘nuclear winter’ if they were adequately prepared.
D
There is no evidence of life on Mars.
E
There is no water in the atmosphere of Mars, and therefore the effect of dust on surface temperature is not comparable to the corresponding effect on Earth.


    Example
The rate of violent crime has risen over the last ten years.  Some sociologists insist that violence depicted on television is responsible for this trend.

Which of the following, if true, would most strengthen the argument?

A
Violent criminals have more psychological problems than criminals who are not violent.
B
Guns are used more than any other weapons in violent crimes.
C
The stringent rules that regulated the content of television programming were greatly eased 15 years ago, resulting in widespread depictions of graphic violence.
D
The overcrowding of prisons has resulted in reduced terms for many criminals.
E
Violent criminals are much more prone to suggestion than people who do not commit crimes.


Methods of Argument

Deductive Arguments

Deductive arguments are designed to prove definitively the author’s conclusion.  In a deductive argument, the conclusion necessarily follows from the premises.  If the premises are true, the conclusion must be true.  Deductive arguments use generalizations as premises to proves specific conclusions. 

Premise:
All children like chocolate
Conclusion: 
My nephew Nick, who is 4 yrs old, must like chocolate.

The example above is a valid deductive argument.  The conclusion follows necessarily from the premise.  The argument is valid but untrue- it is unsound because the premise is false.

Inductive Arguments

Inductive arguments use limited specific experience to support the probability of a generalized conclusion.  In an inductive argument, if the premises are true, the conclusion is probably true. 

Premise:
Tom’s stereo has worked every time he has used it.
Conclusion: 
Tom’s stereo will work today.

In this example, the conclusion does not follow from the premise.  The argument is a relatively strong one, however, since the conclusion is probably true if the premise is true.


Causal Arguments

Causal arguments usually appear in explanations.  An example of a causal argument is a scientific hypothesis that explains a natural event e.g.. lower global temperatures result from increased volcanic activity.

Quite often causal arguments confuse correlation - coincidental occurrence-and causality.  Do not assume that if X happened right before Y, X caused Y.  Always consider alternative causes.

Statistical Arguments

Statistical arguments use statistics in their premises.

Premise:
Four out of five dentists recommend Superdent toothpaste to their patients.
Conclusion: 
Use Superdent.

Statistical arguments are often invalid because they use samples that are too small or are not representative of the group the conclusion focuses on.  Be especially wary of arguments that make conclusions about the whole based on the attributes of its parts, or vice versa.

Analogous Arguments

Analogous arguments use analogies in their premises.

Premise:
Broccoli has been shown to be very beneficial to one’s health.
Conclusion: 
Spinach must also be good for you.

The strength of analogous arguments depends on the similarity between the elements of their analogies.  These arguments can never prove their conclusions, they can only support them.

Useful links

A Glossary of terms used when discussing arguments

Sample Arguments
Examples of things Students say but probably don't mean

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Copyright - © 2002 David O'Regan - All rights reserved.