Kamil Yılmaz
Professor of Economics
Rumelifeneri Yolu, Sariyer, Istanbul 34450, Turkey Phone: 90-212 338 1458, Fax: 90-212 338 1653 e-mail: kyilmaz@ku.edu.tr
Research
Financial and Economic Connectedness
New Blog: Financial Connectedness
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Germany should follow in the footsteps of China (Voxeu.org article) |
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Major European Banks are connected in a state of high volatility (Voxeu.org article: updated graphs can be viewed at http://www.financialconnectedness.org) |
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Latest Diebold-Yilmaz International Business Cycle Connectedness Index (Tusiad-Koç University Economic Research Forum) |
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Latest Diebold-Yilmaz Global Equity Market Connectedness Index (Tusiad-Koç University Economic Research Forum) |
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“On the Network Topology of Variance Decompositions: Measuring the Connectedness of Financial Firms,” NBER Working Paper 17490 (with Francis X. Diebold) October 2011. |
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“International Business Cycle Spillovers,” Center for Economics and Policy Research (CEPR), Discussion Paper Series, 7966 (August 2010). |
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“Global Links and Local Bonds The Role of Ownership and Size in Productivity Growth,” TUSIAD-Koç University Economic Research Forum, WP 1020, (with Erol Taymaz and Ebru Voyvoda) June 2010. |
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“Siyasi Elitler, Siyasi Partiler Yasası ve Ekonomik İstikrar,” Koç University, mimeo, Eylül 2009. |
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“Türkiye İmalat Sanayiinde Yapısal Dönüşüm ve Teknolojik Değişme Dinamikleri,” ERC Working Papers 0804, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, (with E. Taymaz and E. Voyvoda) June 2008. |
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“Integration with the Global Economy: The Case of Turkish Automobile and Consumer Electronics Industries,” TUSIAD-Koç University Economic Research Forum (ERF) Working Paper No. 0801 (with E. Taymaz), February 2008. |
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“Asymmetric Response to Monetary Policy Surprises at the Long-End of the Yield Curve,” Journal of Macroeconomics, Forthcoming. (with S. Demiralp). |
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“Better to Give than to Receive: Forecast-Based Measurement of Volatility Spillovers,” International Journal of Forecasting, vol. 28, issue 1, pp. 57-66, January-March 2012. (with F. X. Diebold). |
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“Taking Stock: The Customs Union between Turkey and the EU Fifteen Years Later,” South European Society and Politics, vol. 16, Issue 2, pp. 235-249, June 2011. |
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“Para Politikası Beklentilerinin Sermaye Piyasaları Üzerindeki Etkisi,” (The Impact of Monetary Policy Expectations on Financial Markets), İktisat, İşletme ve Finans, vol. 25, No. 296, 9-31, Nov. 2010. (with S. Demiralp). |
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“Return and Volatility Spillovers among the East Asian Equity Markets,” Journal of Asian Economics, Vol 21, No. 3, 304-313, June 2010. |
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“Efectos Errame en Los Mercados de Valores del Continente Americano” (Equity Market Spillovers in the Americas), Journal Economia Chilena (The Chilean Economy), The Bank of Chile, vol. 12(2), pp. 55-65, August 2009. (with F. X. Diebold). |
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“Productivity Response to Reduction in Trade Barriers: Evidence From Turkish Manufacturing Plants,” Review of World Economics, Vol. 145(2), pp. 339-360, July 2009. (with S. Ozler). |
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“History Matters for the Export Decision: Evidence from Turkish Manufacturing Industry,” World Development, Vol. 37(2), pp. 479-488, February 2009. (with S. Ozler and E. Taymaz). |
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“Measuring Financial Asset Return and Volatility Spillovers, with Application to Global Equity Markets,” Economic Journal, Vol. 119, pp. 158-171, January 2009. (with F. X. Diebold). |
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For the weekly-updated Diebold-Yilmaz Global Equity Market Return and Volatility Spillover Indices: http://data.economicresearchforum.org/erf/SpillOverIndex.aspx |
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“Trade Orientation and Productivity: Turkish Manufacturing Industry Before and After the Customs Union,” Journal of International Trade and Diplomacy, Vol. 1(1), Spring 2007. (with E. Taymaz). |
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“How Much Should the Primary Commodity Exports be Taxed? Nash and Stackelberg Equilibria in the Global Cocoa Market,” Journal of International Trade and Economic Development, Vol 15(1), pp. 1-16, March 2006 |
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“Volatility and Contagion: Evidence from the Istanbul Stock Exchange," Economic Systems, Vol. 28, No. 4, pp. 353-367, December 2004. (with E. Alper) |
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“Martingale Property of Exchange Rates and Central Bank Interventions,” Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, Vol. 21, No. 3, pp. 383-395, July 2003 |
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“Imported Machinery for Export Competitiveness,” World Bank Economic Review, Vol. 16, No. 1, pp. 23-48, 2002. (with A. Mody) |
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“Markov Chain Test for Time Dependence and Homogeneity: An Analytical and Empirical Evaluation,” European Journal of Operations Research, Vol.137(3), pp. 524-543, 2002. (with B. Tan ) |
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“Yüksek Enflasyon Sürecinde Siyasi Elitlerin Rolü: Arjantin, Brezilya, İsrail ve Türkiye Deneyimlerinin Karşılaştırmalı Analizi,” (“Political Elites and the Delay in Stabilization,”) İşletme ve Finans, No. 183, June 2001 |
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“Optimal Export Taxes in a Multicountry Framework,” Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 60, pp. 439-465, December 1999 |
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“Is There Persistence in Manufacturing Export Growth? Evidence From Newly Industrializing Countries,” Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 53, pp. 447-470, December 1997. (with A. Mody) |
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“Privatization and Stock Market Efficiency: The British Experience,” Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 44, No.2, 113-133, May 1997. (with A. Hayri) |
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“On Cointegration and Exchange Rate Dynamics,” Journal of Finance, Vol. 49, No.2, pp. 727-735, June 1994. (with F. X. Diebold and J. Gardeazabal) |
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“The Intertemporal Relation Between Expected Return and Risk on Currency,” in C.F. Lee (Ed.), Handbook of Financial Econometrics and Statistics, Springer Verlag, Forthcoming, 2012. (with T. G. Bali) |
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“Turkish Manufacturing Industry: Policies, Performance and Challenges,” M. Heper and S. Sayari (eds.), Routledge Handbook of Modern Turkey, 2012, Forthcoming. |
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“Equity Market Spillovers in the Americas,” in Financial Stability, Monetary Policy and Central Banking. Santiago: Bank of Chile, 2010. (with F.X. Diebold) |
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“Turkey’s Recent Trade and Foreign Direct Investment Performance,” (with U. Izmen), In Z. Onis and F. Senses (eds.), Turkey and the Global Economy, Routledge, 2009. |
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“Macroeconomic Volatility and Stock Market Volatility, World-Wide,” (with F. X. Diebold), In T. Bollerslev, J. Russell and M. Watson (Eds.) , Volatility and Time Series Econometrics: Essays in Honour of Robert F. Engle, Oxford University Press, Oxford, 97-116. |
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“Talous EU-jäsenyyden kynnyksellä,” (Turkish Economy Toward EU Membership), in Anu Leinonen, Tuula Kojo, Sampsa Peltonen, Mervi Nousiainen & Lauri Tainio (eds), Turkki - Euroopan rajalla?, pp.201-221, Helsinki: Gaudeamus Helsinki University Press, November 2007. (with N. B. Gultekin) |
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“Turkey’s Foreign Direct Investment Challenges: Competition, Rule of Law and and the EU Accession,” , in Togan, S., ed. Turkey: Economic Reform and Accession to the European Union, Oxford University Press, June 2005. (with M. Dutz and M. Us) |
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“The Turkish Economy before the EU Accession Talks,” in ed. M. Lake, The EU and Turkey: A Glittering Prize or a Millstone?, The Federal Trust for Education and Research, London, UK, June 2005. (with N. B. Gültekin) |
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“Does Trade Liberalization Improve Productivity? Plant level Evidence from Turkish Manufacturing Industry," 2003,in Regional Development: Reality or Myth? Selected Papers from the Ninth ERF Annual Conference. (with Ş. Özler) |
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“Domestic Needs for Foreign Finance and Exchange Rate Regime Choice in Developing Countries with Special Reference to the Turkish Experience,” Turkish Studies, 2003. (with E. Alper) |
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“Market Development and Efficiency in Emerging Stock Markets,” Istanbul Stock Exchange Finance Award Series, 2002 |
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“Stock Return Volatility in Emerging Markets,” Boğaziçi Journal: Review of Social, Economic and Administrative Studies, Vol. 14, No. 1, pp. 45-60, 2000 |
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“Asset Returns, Inflation and Real Activity: The Case of Mexico and Turkey,” Boğaziçi Journal: Review of Social, Economic and Administrative Studies, Vol. 12, No.1, October 1998. (with S. Altuğ) |
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“Türk Telekomünikasyon Sektöründe Reform: Özelleştirme, Düzenleme ve Serbestleşme,” (Reform in the Turkish telecommunications Sector: Privatization, Regulation, and Liberalization) in Atiyas, İzak, (Ed.)., Devletin Düzenleyici Rolü (State and Regulation), Turkish Economic and Social Research Foundation (TESEV) Publication, August 2000 |
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"Uluslararası Sermaye Akışı ve Yükselen Sermaye Piyasalarında Etkinlik," (International Capital Movements and Emerging Stock Market Efficiency) IV. National Econometricsand Statistics Symposium Proceedings, May 2000 |
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“Bütçe Açığı Finansmanı” (Financing the Budget Deficit); Ortalamaya Dönme (Mean-reversion); Hiperenflasyon (Hyperinflation); İstikrar Politikaları (Stabilization Policy); Gelirler Politikası (Incomes Policy), In Para ve Finans Ansiklopedisi (Encylopedia of Monetary Economics and Finance), (edited by Deniz Gökçe), Creative Yayıncılık, Istanbul, 1996 |
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“İngiliz Özelleştirme Programı ve Londra Menkul Kıymetler Borsası Üzerindeki Etkileri,” in Turan, İlter, ed., Özelleştirme Uluslararası Sempozyumu Tebliğleri, (Proceedings of the International Symposiumon Privatization),November 1995 |
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Türkiye için Doğrudan Yabancı Yatırım Stratejisi’ne Doğru,
(Towards a Foreign
Direct Investment Strategy for Turkey),
in Turkish,
YASED
(International Investors’ Association of Turkey) Publication,
forthcoming, February
2007 |
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Türkiye’de Büyüme Perspektifleri: Makroekonomik Çerçeve, Dinamikler, Strateji, (Growth Perspectives in Turkey: Macroeconomic Framework, Dynamics and the Strategy), in Turkish, , TÜSİAD (Turkish Industrialists' and Businessmen's Association) Publication, June 2005. (with A. Filiztekin and U. İzmen) |
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Enflasyon ve Büyüme Dinamikleri: Gelişmekte Olan Ülke Deneyimleri Işığında Türkiye Analizi, (Inflation and Growth Dynamics: An Analysis of Turkey in the light of Developing Country Experiences), in Turkish, TÜSİAD (Turkish Industrialists' and Businessmen's Association) Publication, Dec. 2002. (with C. Akçay and E. Alper) |
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İhracatın Görünümü, 1996-97, (An Overview of Turkish Exports), in Turkish, Turkish Association of Exporters (TIM) Publication, April 1998 |
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Para Kurulu: Nedir, Ne Zaman Gerekir?; (Currency Board: Functions and Operation), in Turkish, Turkish Economic and Social Research Foundation (TESEV) Publication, May 1996. (with N. B. Gültekin) |