Kamil Yılmaz

Associate Professor of Economics                                                  
Director, TÜSİAD-Koç University Economic Research Forum
 
Koç University                                                                                                       
Rumelifeneri Yolu, Sariyer
Istanbul 34450, Turkey
Phone: 90-212 338 1458
Fax: 90-212 338 1653
mailto: kyilmaz@ku.edu.tr
 
 

 

 

c.v.                           

 

research papers                           

recent work

bullet Latest Diebold-Yilmaz International Business Cycle Spillover Index (Tusiad-Koç University Economic Research Forum) 
bullet Latest Diebold-Yilmaz Global Equity Market Spillover Index (Tusiad-Koç University Economic Research Forum)
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bullet TUSIAD-Koç Üniversitesi Ekonomik Araştırma Forumu Araştırma Notu 09-02:  "Bu Kez Çok Farklı: Sanayileşmiş Ülkeler Birbirini Dibe Çekiyor," Mart 31, 2009
bullet VOX column on the current state of the global economy: "This Time it is Really Different: Major Industrialised Economies are Pulling Each Other into the Abyss," March 28, 2009.
bullet VOX interview on Financial Market Interdependence, March 20, 2009
bullet TUSIAD-Koç Üniversitesi Ekonomik Araştırma Forumu Politika Notu 09-01:  "Küresel Kriz, Durgunluk ve Artan Korumacılık Eğilimi," Mart 20, 2009

working papers

bullet International Business Cycle Spillovers, Manuscript, Koç University March 2009.
bullet “Better to Give than to Receive: Forecast-Based Measurement of Volatility Spillovers,” (with Francis X. Diebold ) Paper presented in the Workshop on Predictability in Financial Markets, International Institute of Forecasting, Lisbon, Portugal, January 2009. 
bullet Equity Market Spillovers in the Americas, Manuscript, Koç University, (with Francis X. Diebold) October 2008.
bullet The Intertemporal Relation Between Expected Return and Risk on Currency,” Manuscript, Koç University, (with Turan G. Bali)  August 2008
bullet Integration with the Global Economy: The Case of Turkish Automobile and Consumer Electronics Industries,” TUSIAD-Koç University Economic Research Forum (ERF) Working Paper No. 0801 (with Erol Taymaz), February 2008
bullet Siyasette Reform Zorunlu,”  work in progress, May 2007
bullet “Market Liquidity, Capitalization and the Predictability of Short-Horizon Stock Returns” revised November 2006
bullet “Foreign Direct Investment and Productivity Spillovers: Identifying Linkages through Product-based Measures,” January 2005
bullet Market Development and Predictability of Stock Returns in Emerging Markets,” January 2004
bullet “Tax Hikes vs Expenditure Cuts: An Asymmetric Model of Delayed Stabilization,” 21 pages, June 2003
bullet Political Elites and the Delay in Stabilization,” 43 pages, June 2001
bullet “Export Decision and Investment in Machinery & Equipment: Korean Textile Industry,”  18 pages, July 2000

refereed journal articles

bullet Productivity Response to Reduction in Trade Barriers:  Evidence from Turkish Manufacturing Plants,”  (with Sule Ozler) Review of World Economics, forthcoming, 2009.
bullet History Matters for the Export Decision:  Evidence from Turkish Manufacturing Industry,”  (with Sule Ozler and Erol Taymaz) World Development, Vol. 37, No. 2, pp. 479-488, February 2009.
bullet Measuring Financial Asset Return and Volatility Spillovers, with Application to Global Equity Markets,” (with Francis X. Diebold) Economic Journal, Vol. 119, pp. 158-171, January 2009.
bullet                      For the weekly-updated Diebold-Yilmaz Global Equity Market Return and Volatility Spillover Indices: http://data.economicresearchforum.org/erf/SpillOverIndex.aspx
bullet Trade Orientation and Productivity: Turkish Manufacturing Industry Before and After the Customs Union,” (with Erol Taymaz), Journal of International Trade and Diplomacy, Vol. 1, No. 1, Spring 2007
bullet “How Much Should the Primary Commodity Exports be Taxed? Nash and Stackelberg Equilibria in the Global Cocoa Market,” Journal of International Trade and Economic Development, Vol 15, No. 1, pp. 1-16, March 2006
bullet “Volatility and Contagion: Evidence from the Istanbul Stock Exchange," (with Emre Alper) Economic Systems, Vol. 28, No. 4, pp. 353-367, December 2004
bullet “Martingale Property of Exchange Rates and Central Bank Interventions,” Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, Vol. 21, No. 3, pp. 383-395, July 2003
bullet Imported Machinery for Export Competitiveness,(with Ashoka Mody), World Bank Economic Review, Vol. 16, No. 1, pp. 23-48, 2002.
bullet Markov Chain Test for Time Dependence and Homogeneity: An Analytical and Empirical Evaluation,(with Barış Tan ), European Journal of Operations Research, Vol.137, No.3, pp. 524-543, 2002
bullet Optimal Export Taxes in a Multicountry Framework, Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 60, pp. 439-465, December 1999
bullet Is There Persistence in Manufacturing Export Growth? Evidence From Newly Industrializing Countries, (with Ashoka Mody) Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 53, pp. 447-470, December 1997
bullet Privatization and Stock Market Efficiency: The British Experience, (with Aydın Hayri),  Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 44, No.2, 113-133, May 1997
bullet On Cointegration and Exchange Rate Dynamics, (with Francis X. Diebold and J. Gardeazabal) Journal of Finance, Vol. 49, No.2, pp. 727-735, June 1994

articles in edited volume

bullet Turkey’s Recent Trade and Foreign Direct Investment Performance,” (with Umit Izmen), In Z. Onis and F. Senses (eds.), Turkey and the Global Economy, Routledge, 2009, forthcoming.
bullet Macroeconomic Volatility and Stock Market Volatility, World-Wide,” (with Francis X. Diebold), In Tim Bollerslev, Jeffrey Russell and Mark Watson (Eds.) , Volatility and Time Series Econometrics: Essays in Honour of Robert F. Engle, Oxford University Press, Oxford, 2009, forthcoming.
bullet “Talous EU-jäsenyyden kynnyksellä,” (Turkish Economy Toward EU Membership; with Bulent Gultekin), in Anu Leinonen, Tuula Kojo, Sampsa Peltonen, Mervi Nousiainen & Lauri Tainio (eds), Turkki - Euroopan rajalla?, pp.201-221, Helsinki: Gaudeamus Helsinki University Press, November 2007.
bullet “Turkey’s Foreign Direct Investment Challenges: Competition, Rule of Law and and the EU Accession,” (with Mark Dutz and Melek Us), in Togan, Subidey, ed. Turkey: Economic Reform and Accession to the European Union, Oxford University Press, June 2005
bullet “The Turkish Economy before the EU Accession Talks,” (with N. Bulent Gültekin), in ed. Michael Lake, The EU and Turkey: A Glittering Prize or a Millstone?, The Federal Trust for Education and Research, London, UK, 2005 (June 2005)
bullet “Does Trade Liberalization Improve Productivity?  Plant level Evidence from Turkish Manufacturing Industry," (with Şule Özler), 2003, Regional Development: Reality or Myth? Selected Papers from the Ninth ERF Annual Conference
bullet “Domestic Needs for Foreign Finance and Exchange Rate Regime Choice in Developing Countries with Special Reference to the Turkish Experience,” (with Emre Alper) Turkish Studies, 2003
bullet “Market Development and Efficiency in Emerging Stock Markets,” Istanbul Stock Exchange Finance Award Series, 2002
bullet “Stock Return Volatility in Emerging Markets,” Boğaziçi Journal: Review of Social, Economic and Administrative Studies, Vol. 14, No. 1, pp. 45-60, 2000
bullet “Asset Returns, Inflation and Real Activity: The Case of Mexico and Turkey,” (with Sumru Altuğ) Boğaziçi Journal: Review of Social, Economic and Administrative Studies, Vol. 12, No.1, October 1998

journal articles in turkish

bullet “Yüksek Enflasyon Sürecinde Siyasi Elitlerin Rolü: Arjantin, Brezilya, İsrail ve Türkiye Deneyimlerinin Karşılaştırmalı Analizi, (Turkish translation of “Political Elites and the Delay in Stabilization,İşletme ve Finans, No. 183, June 2001

articles in edited volume, in turkish

bullet “Türk Telekomünikasyon Sektöründe Reform: Özelleştirme, Düzenleme ve Serbestleşme,” (Reform in the Turkish telecommunications Sector: Privatization, Regulation, and Liberalization) in Atiyas, İzak, (Ed.)., Devletin Düzenleyici Rolü (State and Regulation), Turkish Economic and Social Research Foundation (TESEV) Publication, August 2000
bullet "Uluslararası Sermaye Akışı ve Yükselen Sermaye Piyasalarında Etkinlik," (International Capital Movements and Emerging Stock Market Efficiency) IV. National Econometricsand Statistics Symposium Proceedings, May 2000
bullet “Bütçe Açığı Finansmanı” (Financing the Budget Deficit);  Ortalamaya Dönme (Mean-reversion);  Hiperenflasyon (Hyperinflation);  İstikrar Politikaları (Stabilization Policy);   Gelirler Politikası (Incomes Policy), In Para ve Finans Ansiklopedisi (Encylopedia of Monetary Economics and Finance), (edited by Deniz Gökçe), Creative Yayıncılık, Istanbul, 1996
bullet "İngiliz Özelleştirme Programı ve Londra Menkul Kıymetler Borsası Üzerindeki Etkileri," published in Turan, İlter, ed., Özelleştirme Uluslararası Sempozyumu Tebliğleri, (Proceedings of the International Symposiumon Privatization),November 1995

books and monographs, in turkish

bullet Türkiye için Doğrudan Yabancı Yatırım Stratejisi’ne Doğru, (Towards a Foreign Direct Investment Strategy for Turkey),  in Turkish, YASED (International Investors’ Association of Turkey) Publication, forthcoming, February 2007
bullet Türkiye’de Büyüme Perspektifleri: Makroekonomik Çerçeve, Dinamikler, Strateji, (Growth Perspectives in Turkey: Macroeconomic Framework, Dynamics and the Strategy), in Turkish, with Alpay Filiztekin and Umit İzmen, TÜSİAD (Turkish Industrialists' and Businessmen's Association) Publication, June 2005
bullet Enflasyon ve Büyüme Dinamikleri: Gelişmekte Olan Ülke Deneyimleri Işığında Türkiye Analizi, (Inflation and Growth Dynamics: An Analysis of Turkey in the light of Developing Country Experiences), in Turkish, with Cevdet Akçay and Emre Alper, TÜSİAD (Turkish Industrialists' and Businessmen's Association) Publication, December 2002
bullet İhracatın Görünümü, 1996-97, (An Overview of Turkish Exports), in Turkish, Turkish Association of Exporters (TIM) Publication, April 1998
bullet Para Kurulu: Nedir, Ne Zaman Gerekir?; (Currency Board: Functions and Operation),  (with Bülent N.Gültekin ), in Turkish, Turkish Economic and Social Research Foundation (TESEV) Publication, May 1996